Today's Earnings, Monday July 20: A Historic Record for AMC, Domino's Signals on the Consumer, and the Iran War Hits Ryanair

The big earnings week opens: AMC posts the strongest quarter in its 106 years, Domino's misses on earnings with flat same-store sales, and Ryanair absorbs a 34% profit plunge due to expensive fuel. And at the close: record shipments at Steel Dynamics, calm credit at the regional banks, Crown raises guidance - and Iran is mentioned at AGNC too.

By Ilan Abramov9 min read
Today's Earnings, Monday July 20: A Historic Record for AMC, Domino's Signals on the Consumer, and the Iran War Hits Ryanair

This is the daily format of earnings season: on every trading day we will concentrate here the significant reports - the morning reports, followed by the evening reporters - what was published, and what the numbers really say.

What Was Already Published This Morning

AMC: The Best Quarter in 106 Years

The world's largest cinema chain opened the week with a resounding positive surprise: record revenue of $1.6 billion in the quarter - growth of 14.2% - alongside adjusted EBITDA of $321 million and free cash flow of about $190 million, the highest for a single quarter in the company's history. The audience returned to the theaters: visitor numbers jumped about 13.5% to about 71 million. On the accounting bottom line a small loss remained (about $11 million), but adjusted profit came to about $104 million, or 14 cents per share.

The meaning: the famous meme stock is showing, for the first time in years, a business that generates real cash. The question that remains open is the heavy debt burden - but a quarter like this strengthens the ability to service it. For whoever tracks "consumer health," this is evidence that the American is still willing to pay for entertainment outside the home.

Domino's: Revenue Fine, the Consumer Less So

The pizza-delivery giant presented a mixed picture: revenue rose about 4.3%, above expectations, but EPS - $4.07 - missed the consensus (about $4.17). The truly worrying figure sits deeper: U.S. same-store sales remained without growth - a standstill, versus a rise of about 2.9% in the comparable quarter. Operating margins held around 19.4%, and the store network continued expanding to about 22.5 thousand branches.

The meaning: Domino's is one of the best barometers for the mass consumer, and a report like this tells that growth comes from expansion and from price increases in the supply chain - not from rising demand at the same stores. This aligns with the "cautious consumer" thesis we will follow all week, on the way to the credit-card reports on Friday.

Ryanair: Geopolitics Arrived at the P&L

Europe's largest low-cost airline reported a profit plunge of 34% - to about 538 million euros - despite 6% growth in passenger numbers (61.3 million). The reason is twofold: jet-fuel prices that jumped above $150 a barrel against the backdrop of the war with Iran, and an average ticket price that fell about 6% to about 48 euros, after passengers postponed bookings. Management even withdrew its annual guidance, citing "zero visibility" for the second half.

The meaning: this is exactly a living demonstration of the Strait of Hormuz risk we expanded on in the week-opening review - the geopolitical premium is no longer theoretical, it sits in the expense line of the airlines. Worth remembering ahead of American Airlines' report on Thursday: whoever is exposed to fuel without hedging is exposed to news from the Gulf.

The Morning's Bottom Line

The three morning reports together tell one story: the consumer still spends - but chooses. They fill cinema halls and airplanes, but are sensitive to the price of the pizza and the price of the ticket. In a week when the technology giants take the stage, do not lose sight of these signals from the old economy - they are the ones that will determine whether the "soft landing" is still on the runway.

The Reports Published After the Close

The evening reporters' summaries, based on the official reports the companies filed with the SEC.

Steel Dynamics: Record Shipments, and the Backlog Tells the Infrastructure Story

The steel producer from Fort Wayne, Indiana - among the largest in the U.S., with a circular production model based on recycled scrap - delivered the strongest report of the evening. Revenue reached $6.1 billion (versus an estimate of about $5.5) and profit $3.69 per share - above the guidance range the company itself published in June (3.51-3.55), and almost double the comparable quarter (2.01). Behind the numbers: record steel shipments of 3.7 million tons, and operating profit of $721 million in the steel operations - a 30% jump from the prior quarter, thanks to the widening spread between steel prices and scrap cost.

The figure most worth tracking: the order backlog in the fabrication division is about 45% higher than last year and already stretches into the first quarter of 2027, driven per the company by commercial construction, data centers and warehouses, domestic manufacturing and infrastructure. CEO Mark Millett noted that customer inventories are below historical norms - meaning, on the demand side there is still fuel. The new aluminum plant in Mississippi continues its ramp-up. Alongside this, dividends of $77 million were distributed and $200 million of shares repurchased in the quarter.

The meaning: the reshoring and infrastructure thesis that accompanied us in the pieces on Intel and on the server farms receives confirmation here from the most "old-school" direction there is - tons of steel.

The Regional Banks: The Headline Misleads, the Credit Is Calm

Zions (ZION), a regional bank from Salt Lake City operating in the American West, reported a dramatic headline profit of $3.05 per share - but precision is required here: the number includes a one-time gain of $215 million from the sale of Visa shares and additional unrealized gains. Excluding the unusual items the profit was $1.74 per share - still a nice beat of the estimate (about $1.57) and a 10% rise on the year. Beneath the headline, the operating picture is healthy: net interest income rose 4% thanks to a drop in funding costs, and the margin widened.

And what really matters after a week of talk about leverage: the provision for credit losses was just $3 million - almost zero for a bank with a $62 billion book - and classified loans fell 14% on the year. Wintrust (WTFC) from Chicago also beat forecasts on profit and revenue. The credit pulse of middle America, at least this evening, is entirely normal.

W.R. Berkley: An Excellent Report, a Stock Priced for Perfection

The commercial insurer from Greenwich, Connecticut - among the best-run in the commercial specialty insurance industry - beat the estimate with operating profit of $1.15 per share (versus 1.09), operating profit that grew 21%, and a record $419 million in investment income alongside a combined ratio of 90% (solid underwriting profitability). Equity jumped to a record $9.8 billion, and $334 million was returned to shareholders. And yet - the stock retreated in late trading. The meaning: when a stock is priced for perfection, even an excellent report is not a catalyst. Worth remembering this week with the technology giants too.

Crown: Beverage Cans Point to a Stable Basic Consumer - and Guidance Rises

The beverage-can manufacturer from Tampa, Florida - among the largest in the world, with plants on four continents - posted adjusted profit of $2.49 per share, up 16%, on revenue of $3.67 billion (up 16.5%). Can volumes grew 5% globally: a double-digit jump in Asia, 7% in Europe and 5% in North America, offsetting weakness in Latin America. And the important line: the company raised its annual guidance to adjusted EPS of $8.30-8.50 (from a prior range that started at 7.90), with free cash flow of at least $900 million. In the background, the company repurchased almost 7% of its shares over the past year.

The meaning: people buy canned drinks in every market condition - and when a packaging company raises annual guidance in mid-July, that is quiet but solid evidence of stable basic consumer demand.

AGNC: Iran Reaches the Bond Market Too - but the Book Actually Grew

The leveraged REIT from Maryland, which invests almost exclusively in government-guaranteed mortgage-backed bonds (a portfolio of $97.2 billion), delivered the interesting quote of the evening: CEO Peter Federico attributed the challenging quarter to the confrontation between the U.S. and Iran, which in his words largely dictated the financial markets' performance. The same war we met this morning in Ryanair's report closes the day in the American bond market as well.

And yet, the numbers themselves are actually positive: comprehensive income of 52 cents per share, a net spread of 40 cents (a slight dip from 42), and a 2.4% rise in tangible net book value per share to $8.58 - which produced a quarterly economic return of 6.7% for holders, alongside cumulative monthly dividends of 36 cents. The meaning: even in the most sensitive pressure gauge of the rates market, the quarter ended with a rise in asset value - not erosion.

(BOK Financial, Washington Trust, Calix and Monarch Casino also reported this evening - with no material surprises that justify detail.)

The Evening's Bottom Line

The aggregate of the closing reports paints one consistent picture: the old economy - steel, insurance, packaging and regional banks - is healthy, beating forecasts, and some of it even raising guidance. Credit provisions are near zero, order backlogs are lengthening, and the basic consumer is stable. This is the most reassuring backdrop one could ask for a day before the technology giants take the stage: if there are cracks in the American economy, they are not yet visible at those who lend, insure, manufacture and package.

Sources: the companies' official SEC filings (8-K) and the results announcements of AMC, Domino's, Ryanair, Steel Dynamics, Zions, Crown Holdings, AGNC and W.R. Berkley, and ongoing international coverage - accurate as of the time of writing. The charts are shown in real time via TradingView. Nothing herein constitutes a forecast, recommendation or advice.

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