Taboola Raised Its Full-Year Guidance - and the Stock Crashed 27.5%. The Gap Between the Metric It Emphasises and the One It Does Not

Taboola published on 5 August a report headlined: Strong Q2 Results and Raises Full-Year Guidance. The stock fell 27.50% the same day. The gap sits between two numbers: revenue grew just 2.4%, while ex-TAC gross profit - the metric the company chooses to emphasise - grew 11.8%. And above all, third-quarter guidance is below the quarter just reported.

By Ilan Abramov3 min read
Taboola Raised Its Full-Year Guidance - and the Stock Crashed 27.5%. The Gap Between the Metric It Emphasises and the One It Does Not
* The cover image was generated with an AI tool and is not a photograph.

Taboola published its second-quarter report on 5 August 2026. We are writing about it today, 6 August.

The company's own headline: "Taboola Reports Strong Q2 2026 Financial Results, & Raises Full-Year ex-TAC Gross Profit and Adjusted EBITDA Guidance."

The stock fell 27.50% the same day, from $5.29 to $3.84.

What was reported

QuarterChange
Revenue476.8+2.4%
Gross profit139.5+2.9%
ex-TAC gross profit192.4+11.8%

In millions of dollars

The gap between the two metrics

◆ניטרלי

What ex-TAC is and why it matters

TAC stands for Traffic Acquisition Cost - what Taboola pays the sites that host its content recommendations.

ex-TAC gross profit is profit excluding that payment.

And it is a legitimate metric - it describes how much money is left for the company itself after paying the publishers through which it operates.

But note the gap:

  • Revenue grew 2.4%
  • Gross profit grew 2.9%
  • ex-TAC gross profit grew 11.8%

So the 11.8% growth is not in the scale of activity - it is in improved revenue-share terms with publishers.

That is a real improvement in profitability. But revenue growth of 2.4% is close to standing still.

And the main reason for the fall: the guidance

Q3Full year
Revenue460-4731,930-1,956
Gross profit148-152605-615
ex-TAC gross profit184-190772-783
Adjusted EBITDA51.5-56.5228-240
Non-GAAP net income38-42168-176

In millions of dollars

The midpoint of third-quarter revenue guidance is $466.5 million - below the $476.8 million just reported.

And ex-TAC gross profit is guided to $184-190 million - below the quarter's $192.4 million.

So the company raised full-year guidance while guiding to a third quarter weaker than the second on both central metrics.

What the company points to

CEO Adam Singolda: "We delivered another quarter beating our ex-TAC Gross Profit and Adjusted EBITDA guidance and are raising our full-year guidance for both metrics. With the momentum we're seeing with Realize, the addition of Fox News and other strategic wins, we are further strengthening our position as a leader in performance advertising."

My Angle

A personal opinion of Ilan Abramov - not advice, not a recommendation

This report teaches a lesson about the metrics a company chooses to emphasise.

ex-TAC is an entirely legitimate measure, and it genuinely describes better what Taboola keeps. But when revenue grows 2.4% and ex-TAC grows 11.8%, the difference is not in how much business was done - it is in how much of it was retained.

Improving revenue-share terms is a good thing. It is simply not the same thing as growth.

And what decided the day was the guidance. A company raising full-year guidance while in the same breath guiding a third quarter below the second is signalling that the first half was stronger than the second will be - the opposite of what a growth investor wants to see.

And what I note for the longer term: full-year revenue guidance is $1.93 to $1.96 billion. Against a current annual run rate of roughly $1.9 billion. This is a company that has stabilised at its size, and it needs to find the next growth engine - which is exactly what Realize is meant to be.